CPA Reports
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  • Orissa: Challenges Ahead
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Lalit Man Singh and Maria Mini Jos
    The report is a detailed analysis of Orissa's economic conditions with special focus on the excruciatingly high poverty rates in the state.
    May 2007
    A brief version of this report was published in Business Line. Click here to view the article.
  • Socioeconomic Dimensions Impigning on Regional Security and Stability
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Maria Mini Jos
    This paper gives an overview of the social and economic development in the South Asian region and discusses the relevance of migration from the point of view of regional security.
    March 2007
    The paper was presented in an international seminar organized by the Centre for Land and Air Warfare Studies, New Delhi and inaugurated by the President of India.
  • Economic Interests
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Maria Mini Jos
    The paper discusses four main aspects linked to economic interests. Each of these arguments is explained with reference to China and India in order to throw light into the international economic interests which prevail now and to see how it will be altered in the coming periods.
    March 2007
  • FDI in Retail-III: Implications of Walmart's Backdoor Entry
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Kamal Sharma and Maria Mini Jos
    The study gives a balanced outlook on allowing Foreign Direct Investment in India's retail sector throwing light on the threat of monopsonistic procurement which can pronounce the death sentence on the small producers in the country. The study has been sent to MP's, Chief Ministers, media and civil society organizations.
    February 2007
  • Socioeconomic Security of South India
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Ronald Joseph Abraham and Uma Natarajan
    This report analyses the socioeconomic security of South India with a comprehensive list of indicators. Some key aspects of the report include the commentary on population growth in South India comapred to the rest of the country, the need to increase agricultural productivity and industrial production in the South. It also points to the high inequality in the region and the poor social condition of the states (with Kerala as the only exception).
    July 2006
    This report was supported by the Centre for Security Analysis, Chennai.
  • Cost of Conflict: The Indian Experience
    By Mohan Guruswamy
    This is the text of a lecture delivered by Mr. Guruswamy in Colombo, Sri Lanka. It analyses the direct and indirect economic costs involved in conflict-ridden areas.
    To view the presentation that accompanied it click here.
    March 2006
  • The Budget and the Reality
    By Mohan Guruswamy
    This is the text of the Malyala Manorama Budget Lecture delived by Mr. Guruswamy on March 6 in Kochi, Kerala. It provides a comprehensive analysis of this years budget and comparison with previous ones. The main point is that the budget has become a simple media exercise and it fails to address the real issues plauging the country.
    To view the presentation that accompanied it click here.
    March 2006
  • Redefining Poverty: A New Poverty Line for a New India            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Ronald Joseph Abraham
    The current poverty line is in terms of a caloric value, i.e. 2100 calories per day per person in urban areas and 2400 calories in rural areas. This translates into a poverty line of Rs. 454 pm and Rs. 327 pm in urban and rural areas respectively. This is a conveniently low threshold and does not account for essential basic human needs such as healthcare, drinking water, sanitation, clothing and a minimum nutritional diet. This report redefines this line including all basic needs and gets an income line of Rs. 840 per month. At this level about 69% of all Indians are living in poverty.
    February 2006
    Shortly after this report was distributed to all Members of Parliament, the Rural Development Minister, Sri Raghuvansh Prasad Singh, announced the usage of basic norms to identify those below the poverty line. Click here.
    This response by the Honourable Minister was after Sri Lalit Kishore Chaturvedi tabled the Hindi version of this report in Parliament. Click here.
    Read a treatise on formulating a relative poverty line here.
  • FDI in Retail - II: Inviting more trouble?            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Kamal Sharma
    This is the second report by CPAS on FDI in Retail. It explores various aspects of the debate that have surfaced since the first report a year ago. Issues such as imports by Wal-mart, modern supply-chains, etc. are analysed. A thorough rebuttal on ICRIER's report on the same subject is also given.
    February 2006
    Some of the issues discussed in this report were also presented in this article published in Business Line.
  • Will India Catch-up with China?            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Jeevan Prakash Mohanty and Ronald Joseph Abraham
    This paper analyses the first and second decades of the post-liberalization reform period of China (1979 onwards) and India (1992 onwards). It contains a detailed review of microeconomic, macroeconomic and social indicators such as mortality, life expectancy, prosperity, poverty, per capita income, trade, deficits, etc.
    October 2005
    Broad conclusions of this paper was presented in a lecture at USI by Mr. Guruswamy. Click here for details.
    This paper is an updated and significantly expanded version of a CPA paper in November 2003. That paper is given below.
  • Left Behind: A Case Study of Assam
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Ronald Joseph Abraham
    The study reveals that Assam is falling behind other Northeastern states in all economic and social indicators. It has the highest incidence of poverty, infant mortality, illiteracy in Northeast India. Moreover, over two-thirds of the Northeast population resides in Assam. Yet it is this very state that is being ignored by the Centre. This study systematically reveals this neglect of Assam by the Central Government.
    October 2005
    This paper was officially realeased in Guwahati on Oct 18 alongwith the OKD Institute. Click here for details.
    To download the presentation given there, click here.
  • Towards a New Petroleum Products Pricing Policy            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Ronald Joseph Abraham and Abhinav Gupta
    The Government is making a habit of coming out with ad hoc price increases for petroleum products. Instead, however, a comprehensive and permanent petroleum pricing policy needs to be implemented. This paper suggests a pricing policy which keeps the government's revenue earnings from the petroleum sector constant and not give it a vested interest in climbing crude oil prices. At the same time, retail prices are not left to the profit making proclivities of the domestic oil companies.
    September 2005
    This policy paper was submitted to Mr. Mani Shankar Aiyer, Minster for Petroleum and Natural Gas. The report was also appreciated by many industry leaders.
    Click here for an abridged version of this report printed in Business Line.
  • Economic Growth and Development in West-Bengal: Reality versus Perception        [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Kamal Sharma and Jeevan Prakash Mohanty
    Since 1977, West-Bengal has been ruled by a communist regime. This regime with its populist and labour friendly policies has not been able to nourish the state's industrial sector. Despite that handicap the state's GDP has grown at a rate of 7.1% since 1990 overtaking the industrially developed states of India. The growth of the state is attributed to its vibrant agriculture and the policies of land reform, which have not been successful in the other states of India.
    May 2005
    Sitaram Yechury, CPI(M) Politburo Member, used this report for one of his editorials in the Hindustan Times. Click here.
    This Report was made possible by a grant from SREI Infrastructure Ltd.
    An abridged version of this report appeared in Economic and Political Weekly, The Hindu and Business Line.
  • FDI in India's Retail Sector: More Bad than Good?
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Kamal Sharma, Jeevan Prakash Mohanty and Thomas Korah
    Total current employment in nationwide retailing is highlighted vis-à-vis the future benefits accruing to consumers on account of supply chain integration. Services sector supports growth in the total number of livelihoods at a low capital cost while FDI in retailing replaces several livelihoods through higher capital spending. Which alternative most synchronizes with India's resource endowments is critically evaluated.
    February 2005
    This report has been quoted in the Media extensively. Many members of the Government have used it to formulate policy regarding FDI in retail.
    Articles on this topic
      Getting Debate Back on Track
      Walmart Rebuttal
      More Bad than Good
  • Jammu & Kashmir: Is There Really a Fresh Vision and a New Blue Print?
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Jeevan Prakash Mohanty
    Higher per capita allocation & liberal budgetary support for development from the Centre has not improved public goods and services (though poverty has been all but eliminated). On the contrary the easier availability of funds seems to have been utilized for private influence peddling by local politicians and terror groups.
    December 2004
    Click here to see an abridged version of this article which appeared in Business Line.
  • A Socio-economic Comparison of India's Top Three States
    By Jeevan Prakash Mohanty and Shishir Shekhar
    The two leading industrial states of Western India and the most developed state of South India (Tamil Nadu) are compared since these states have outstanding performance in industrial as well as agricultural growth. Among the three states Maharashtra with a higher population has performed better than Gujarat and Tamil Nadu during the last decade.
    August 2004
  • Centrally Planned Inequality: The Tale of Two States - Punjab & Bihar
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Ramnish Attar Baitha and Jeevan Prakash Mohanty
    A deeper look at Central disbursements on account of development, irrigation outlays and "invisibles" such as pensions and salaries remitted to servicemen reveals the large difference in the stable & recurring inflows into the two states. These inflows largely account for their respective growth rates, social parameters & human development indicators.
    June 2004
  • Last in the South: Economic Growth and Development in Andhra Pradesh
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Abhishek Kaul
    The economic performance and Human Development Index (HDI) highlight the laudable performance of the four southern states since the 1980s, but a detailed analysis uncovers the relationship between the four states on various parameters to give us a variegated picture establishing the leader and the laggard.
    April 2004
    A presentation of this report was made in Hyderabad. This report was widely circulated in the Southern States.
    Click here for an abridged version of this report printed in Business Line.
  • The Children of the Ganga and the Politics of Allocation            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy
    Far greater representation in Parliament of both UP and Bihar has not obtained any financial benefits for the states. Per capita allocation of central funds for development to these two states is often only a third of the allocation to smaller states such as Gujarat and a plethora of statistics illustrate this.
    March 2004
  • The De-urbanisation of Bihar            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Jeevan Prakash Mohanty
    Bihar with the lowest rate in urbanisation merits special attention. Low urbanisation has led to out migration and this problem is attributed to the lack of employment opportunities and other civic amenities. The study also underscores that the state has received minimum grants as part of urban development programme of the Central government.
    February 2004
    For this report and "Economic Strangulation of Bihar", the authors were invited by the President of India to Rashtrapathi Bhavan for a discussion. This report was circulated in Bihar extensively and became an election issue.
  • The Looming Crisis in Indian Agriculture            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Abhishek Kaul
    Extrapolating into the future and the recent trends of low investment in irrigation, fragmentation of landholdings, declining growth in productivity; increase in spoilage of grains, fruits and vegetables; misdirected irrigation, fertilizer and power subsidies, a grim picture emerges of the looming crisis in India's agricultural sector.
    January 2004
  • Economic Strangulation of Bihar            [ In Hindi ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy and Abhishek Kaul
    A liberal display of data, tables and statistics highlights the comprehensive denial of grants and allocations to the agricultural state of Bihar thus compounding its misgovernance.
    December 2003
    This report was widely circulated in Bihar. It became one of the prime election issues of Bihar in 2004. The report was again quoted by senior politicians during the campaigning for regional elections in Bihar in 2005.
  • Will India Catch-up with China?            [ This is the old version ]
    By Mohan Guruswamy, Abhishek Kaul and Vishal Handa
    This report was updated and significanly expanded in 2005. This version of the report is shown above.
    November 2003
    This report was used in the Parliament for a discussion on the topic.

 
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